Fuels

Pump Price Drops 9 Cents

Margin may cave, says Lundberg
CAMARILLO, Calif. -- Retail gasoline prices dropped 9.25 cents per gallon on average in the past two weeks, to $2.8279 per gallon for regular grade, according to the most recentLundberg Surveyof approximately 2,500 U.S. gas stations.

It was crude oil that allowed the drop. Crude has been sliding this month so far, and its latest two-week drop of $5 per barrel is already hitting wholesale gasoline markets nationally. If it stays around $70 per barrel, the wholesale plunge will play out and the apparent retail margin, [image-nocss] at the moment a glittering 27.52 cents on regular, will cavecausing another drop at the pump, perhaps 5 to 10 cents per gallon to perhaps $2.75 per gallon or less. This would all be trumped by a rapid, sizable and sustained crude oil price recovery, but a small upward oil price correction would not prevent further pump price slippage.

Competition for retail gasoline sales includes price deals beyond postings: in-store rebates by big-box grocers, rebates on consumers' bills from oil company credit-card sales and other schemes that speak to a motoring public weighted down by under-employment.

Compared with one year ago: Crude is $3.73 per barrel higher; the average retail price is 33.4 cents above; the weighted average wholesale price (branded/unbranded rack, DTW), at $2.07, is 8.56 cents higher; tax on gasoline is 1.35 cents higher; and retail margin is 23.49 cents above that of May 29 last year. Only refiner margin on gasoline, 0.39 cents per gallon lower than a year ago, is left out.

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