CSP Magazine

Foodservice/Packaged Food: Frozen/Refrigerated Foods 2015

Where the Gains Are: Refrigerated

C-store sales, 52 weeks ending Dec. 28, 2014

C-store sales of milk rose 1.9% in 2014, with units off 2.2%, led by skim and low-fat varieties, according to IRI.

Hand-held entrees—including Deli Express, Landshire and Don Miguel brands—saw unit sales rise more than 5%.

Refrigerated Dairy

SegmentC-store sales ($ millions)PCYA*Unit sales (millions)PCYA*
Flavored milk/eggnog/buttermilk$394.97.6%229.52.6%
Milkshakes/nondairy drinks$13.6-12.7%7.4-15.3%
Skim/low-fat milk$874.8-2.0%282.6-6.7%
Whole milk$620.54.7%206.5-0.2%
Natural cheese$147.116.3%109.114.4%
Fresh eggs$82.310.2%39.07.2%
Creams/creamers$76.42.1%29.7-2.0%
Yogurt$63.54.4%39.51.5%
Butter/butter blends$16.37.6%3.9-2.4%
Sour cream$10.00.2%4.3-3.7%
Margarine/spreads$8.9-3.1%3.3-4.7%
Cottage cheese$5.9-4.7%2.5-8.3%
Cream cheese$5.7-5.3%1.9-9.5%

Source: IRI

* Percent change from a year ago


Refrigerated Entrees

SegmentC-store sales ($ millions)PCYA*Unit sales (millions)PCYA*
Hand-held non-breakfast entrees$798.98.1%246.65.3%
Breakfast entrees$291.526.4%126.524.0%
Lunches$125.212.6%42.015.0%
Salad/coleslaw$72.714.7%16.113.3%
Luncheon meats$32.76.3%12.12.2%
Breakfast meats$28.44.0%5.2-4.5%
Frankfurters$20.72.4%10.55.9%
Dinner sausage$19.614.4%6.615.5%

Source: IRI

* Percent change from a year ago


Cross-Category Opportunity

According to an analysis of c-store point-of-sale data by Management Science Associates, market baskets that included frozen foods ranked among the largest in total basket ring, and significantly above the average transaction size of $6.75. In fact, baskets with frozen foods averaged $13.82, with most of this total—$8.47—coming from items in other categories.


Distributor Data: Refrigerated and Frozen-Food Shipments

Calendar year 2014

Growth in shipments of refrigerated and frozen foods from McLane in 2014 was mixed, with dairy largely on an upward trend.

Packaged Deli Products

SegmentAPSW**APSW dollar growthPCYA*
Lunch packs$15.48$2.3618.0%
Luncheon meat$2.39-$0.21-7.9%
Other packaged deli products$4.28-$0.18-4.0%

Source: McLane Co.

* Percent change from a year ago

** Average shipments per store per week


Dairy

SegmentAPSW**APSW dollar growthPCYA*
Packaged cheese$15.61$3.1725.5%
Milk/milk product$12.83$2.0819.4%
Eggs$8.43$1.6524.3%
Butter/margarine$2.53$0.4823.2%
Other dairy$10.81$2.5530.9%

Source: McLane Co.

* Percent change from a year ago

** Average shipments per store per week


Frozen Food

SegmentAPSW**APSW dollar growthPCYA*
Frozen pizza$16.85$1.237.9%
Frozen dinners and entrees$4.89-$8.28-62.9%
Ice cream and novelties$3.51$0.5117.1%
Other frozen foods$26.25$7.8642.7%

Source: McLane Co.

* Percent change from a year ago

** Average shipments per store per week

CONTINUED: Milk, Cheese, Breakfast & Hand-Held Entrees

Market Share: Milk by Type

C-store sales, 52 weeks ending Dec. 28, 2014

Nearly 46% of c-store milk sales in 2014 were low-fat and skim varieties, according to IRI.

SegmentDollar share
Low-fat and skim45.9%
Whole32.6%
Flavored milk**20.7%
Other***0.8%

Source: IRI

* Percent change from a year ago

** Includes eggnog and buttermilk

*** Includes refrigerated milkshakes and nondairy drinks, kefir and milk substitutes


Natural-Cheese Brands

C-store sales, 52 weeks ending Dec. 28, 2014

C-store sales of natural cheese rose more than 14% in 2014, per IRI, with top string/stick cheese brands enjoying strong growth.

BrandC-store sales ($ millions)PCYA*Unit sales (millions)PCYA*
Polly O string/stick cheese$21.912.3%24.312.9%
Sargento Natural string/stick cheese$12.330.8%13.632.4%
Private-label string/stick cheese$9.116.1%6.94.5%
Kraft Cracker Barrel Natural string/stick cheese$8.718.9%9.720.1%
Borden chunks$5.919.2%4.218.8%
Total (including brands not shown)$147.116.3%109.114.4%

Source: IRI

* Percent change from a year ago


Refrigerated Breakfast and Hand-Held Entrees

C-store sales, 52 weeks ending Dec. 28, 2014

Private label led c-store dollar and unit sales for refrigerated entrees in 2014, according to IRI.

Refrigerated Breakfast-Entree Brands

BrandC-store sales ($ millions)PCYA*Unit sales (millions)PCYA*
Private label$204.734.6%93.231.7%
Deli Express$40.330.1%14.725.6%
Don Miguel$10.55.5%4.23.6%
Jimmy Dean$10.1-0.9%4.10.0%
Landshire$9.6-1.8%3.9-4.1%
Total (including brands not shown)$291.526.4%126.524.0%

Source: IRI

* Percent change from a year ago


Refrigerated Hand-Held-Entree Brands

BrandC-store sales ($ millions)PCYA*Unit sales (millions)PCYA*
Private label$317.810.1%96.510.0%
Deli Express$163.822.0%49.216.3%
Landshire$49.3-6.0%15.3-12.1%
Don Miguel The Bomb$29.4-0.6%9.1-2.3%
Great American Deli$17.0-9.9%5.7-11.9%
Total (including brands not shown)$798.98.1%256.65.3%

Source: IRI

* Percent change from a year ago

CONTINUED: Frozen Foods, Desserts & Ice cream

Where the Gains Are: Frozen

C-store sales, 52 weeks ending Dec. 28, 2014

C-store unit sales of frozen novelties inched up slightly in 2014, while ice-cream sales were off 0.1%, according to IRI. In the rest of the freezer set, pizza and breakfast food were growth highlights.

Frozen Desserts

SegementC-store sales ($ millions)PCYA*Unit sales (millions)PCYA*
Novelties$694.72.4%361.70.2%
Ice cream/sherbet$497.01.8%124.1-0.1%

Source: IRI

* Percent change from a year ago


Frozen Snacks and Entrees

SegmentC-store sales ($ millions)PCYA*Unit sales (millions)PCYA*
Dinners/entrees$190.30.6%84.3-7.2%
Appetizers/snack rolls$131.2-1.9%99.5-8.5%
Pizza$130.415.8%24.012.3%
Breakfast food$94.35.6%42.54.4%
Potatoes/onions$16.114.5%16.520.2%
Juices$11.60.7%4.1-2.2%

Source: IRI

* Percent change from a year ago


Frozen-Dessert Trends

C-store sales, 52 weeks ending Dec. 28, 2014

Only a few of the top c-store frozen-novelty brands posted growth in 2014, led by f’real milkshakes, according to IRI.

Frozen-Novelty Brands

BrandC-store sales ($ millions)PCYA*Unit sales (millions)PCYA*
f’real$102.413.7%36.610.2%
Nestlé Drumstick$56.6-2.5%20.6-4.9%
Snickers$52.4-13.7%27.0-12.4%
Häagen-Dazs$29.34.2%10.02.6%
Blue Bell$26.8-2.4%31.6-4.8%
Wells Blue Bunny$25.61.4%16.72.3%
Magnum$24.38.1%8.17.9%
Good Humor$23.90.2%13.7-0.7%
Nestlé$23.21.8%14.8-2.0%
Nestlé Tollhouse$23.2-18.6%7.819.3%
Total (including brands not shown)$694.02.4%360.60.2%

Source: IRI

* Percent change from a year ago


Ice-Cream Brands

BrandC-store sales ($ millions)PCYA*Unit sales (millions)PCYA*
Ben & Jerry’s$142.6-1.0%26.4-2.4%
Blue Bell$75.57.4%29.05.2%
Häagen-Dazs$52.16.3%10.44.8%
Dreyer’s/Edy’s Grand$23.639.4%5.856.1%
Private label$23.67.7%7.08.6%
Total (including brands not shown)$475.91.2%118.4-0.8%

Source: IRI

* Percent change from a year ago


Frozen Dinner/Entrée Trends

C-store sales, 52 weeks ending Dec. 28, 2014

C-store sales of frozen dinners were soft in 2014, with units off nearly 8%, according to IRI.

BrandC-store sales ($ millions)PCYA*Unit sales (millions)PCYA*
Hot Pockets$34.4-5.0%12.3-8.3%
Private label$23.1-5.1%14,6-5.6%
El Monterey$16.3-1.2%7.7-0.5%
Global Delights$14.642.0%8.642.2%
Pierre Big AZ$11.433.3%3.232.7%
Total (including brands not shown)$169.10.9%78.7-7.5%

Source: IRI

* Percent change from a year ago

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