Fuels

Price Run-Up Ending?

Retail gasoline up 9 cents to $3.08, says Lundberg
CAMARILLO, Calif. -- The January 7 U.S. average regular grade retail gasoline price is $3.0812, up 9.32 cents over the past three weeks, according to the most recentLundberg Survey of approximately 2,500 U.S. gas stations. The rate of increase slowed by about a penny versus the rate between December 3 and December 17 as crude oil prices trended back down.

The futures contract for WTI near-month closed within one penny of its price of three weeks ago: $88.02 on December 17, spiked to above $91 a few times, then dropped [image-nocss] back down to $88.03 on January 7.

If crude cooperates, the retail gasoline price hikes will slow further and many even become decreases, because of special gasoline market factors: January is our lowest consumption month, and supplies are abundant. Add to that the likely increase in gasoline exports from foreign refiners attracted to recently high prices in the United States, and our oversupply of gasoline may grow deep enough to usher in a price slide.

Camarillo, Calif.-based Lundberg Survey Inc. is an independent market research company specializing in the U.S. petroleum marketing and related industries. (Click here for previous Lundberg Survey columns in CSP Daily News.)

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